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Is Vietnam the youngest goose in Japan's flight formation?

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Intereconomics

Abstract

Japan was the first country to achieve successful economic development after World War II. The following paper discusses whether the Japanese model of ‘state-led development’ can offer a possible alternative strategy to the neo-liberal recipes of the World Bank and the IMF for systemic transition, taking the example of Vietnam.

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References

  1. Cf. World Bank: World Development Indicators, various issues.

  2. Cf. H. Siebert: Weltwirtschaft, Stuttgart 1997, pp. 139–156.

  3. Cf. J. Revilla-Diez: Systemtransformation in Vietnam: Industrieller Strukturwandel und regionalwirtschaftliche Auswirkung, in: Hannoversche Geographische Arbeiten, Vol. 51, Hanover 1995, pp. 21–24.

  4. Cf. K. Ohno: Overview: Creating the Market Economy, in: K. Ohno, I. Ohno (eds.): Japanese Views on Economic Development-Diverse Paths to the Market, London and New York 1998.

  5. Cf. J. Williamson: Latin American Adjustment: How Much Has Happened? Institute for International Economics, Washington 1990; J. Williamson: Democracy and the “Washington Consensus”, in: World Development, Vol. 21, No. 8, 1993, pp. 1329–1336.

  6. Cf. H. Kohama: A Review of Systemic Transition, in: K. Ohno, I. Ohno, op. cit. Japanese Views on Economic Development-Diverse Paths to the Market, London and New York 1998, pp. 53–60; K. Ohno, op. cit.; Overview: Creating the Market Economy, M. Okuno-Fujiwara: Toward a Comparative Institutional Analysis of the Government-Business Relationship, in: M. Aoki, H.-K. Kim, M. Okuno-Fujiwara (eds.): The Role of Government in East Asian Economic Development, Oxford 1997, pp. 373–406; R. Wade: Governing the Market: Economic Theory and the Role of Government in East Asian Industrialization, Princeton 1990; R. Wade: Japan, the World Bank, and the Art of Paradigm Maintenance: ‘The East Asian Miracle’, in: Political Perspective, new left review, No. 217, May/June 1996, pp. 3–36.

  7. For a detailed discussion of the first transitional phase cf. W. Pascha: Industrial Policy and the Policy Cholces for Central and Eastern European Countries—A Commentary on Some Controversial Issues, in: G. Heiduk (ed.): Integration of Central and Eastern European Countries into the World Economy—Internal and External Strategies, Hamburg 1997, pp. 241–255.

  8. Cf. A. Fforde, S. de Vylder: From Plan to Market—The Economic Transition in Vietnam, Boulder and Oxford 1996.

  9. Cf. for more details for Japan: Y. Kosai: The Reconstruction Period, in: R. Komiya, M. Okuno, K. Suzumura (eds.): Industrial Policy of Japan, Tokyo et al. 1988, pp. 25–48; T. Nakamura: Lectures on Modern Japanese Economic History 1926–1994, Tokyo 1994; J. Teranishi: Inflation Stabilisation with Growth: The Japanese Experience, 1945–50, In: M. Smitka (ed.): Japan's Economic Ascent, New York and London 1998, pp. 221–246; and for Vietnam: M. Beresford: Industrial Reform in Vietnam, in: I. Jeffries (ed.): Industrial Reform in Socialist Countries: From Restructuring to Revolution, Aldershot and Brooksfield 1992, pp. 242–253; J. Revilla-Diez, op. cit. Systemtransformation in Vietnam: Industrieller Strukturwandel und regionalwirtschaftliche Auswirkungen, in: Hannoversche Geographische Arbeiten, Vol. 51, Hanover 1995, pp. 63–85; H. Mitsui: Effects of the Recent industrial Reforms in Vietnam: A Remarkable Transformation to the Market Economy? IDCJ Staff Occasional Note No. 3, March 1992, pp. 1–5.

  10. Cf. M. Itoh et al.: Economic Analysis of Industrial Policy, San Diego and London 1991, p. 15.

  11. Cf. O. Weggel: Gesamtbericht Vietnam, Laos, Kambodscha, in: SÜDOSTASIEN aktuell, September 1998, pp. 374f.

  12. Cf. Japan International Co-operation Agency (JICA): Country Study for Japan's official Development Assistance to the Socialist Republic of Viet Nam, 1995, reprinted in: K. Ohno, I. Ohno, op. cit. Japanese Views on Economic Development-Diverse Paths to the Market, London and New York, 1998. p. 276.

  13. Cf. K. Ohno, op. cit. Overview: Creating the Market Economy, p. 37; JICA, ibid. Country Study for Japan's official Development Assistance to the Socialist Republic of Viet Nam, 1995, p. 271.

  14. For a more detailed overview of these points see for Vietnam: The road to capitalism: A survey of Vietnam, in: The Economist, July 8th 1995, pp. 1–18, and for Japan: T. Nakamura, op. cit. Lectures on Modern Japanese Economic History 1926–1994, Tokyo 1994;

  15. Cf. for a further discussion of the PPS J. Teranishi, op. cit. Inflation Stabilisation with Growth: The Japanese Experience, 1945–50, pp.71–75, Y. Kosai, op. cit. The Reconstruction Period, in: R. Komiya, M. Okuno, K. Suzumura (eds.): Industrial Policy of Japan, Tokyo et al. 1988 pp. 31–35.

  16. Cf. for a discussion of the controversial aspects of industrial policy cf. W. Pascha, op. cit. Industrial Policy and the Policy Choices for Central and Eastern European Countries—A Commentary on Some Controversial Issues, in: G. Heiduk (ed.): Integration of Central and Eastern European Countries into the World Economy—Internal and External Strategies, Hamburg 1997, pp. 241–255.

  17. Cf. A. Rowley: To Russia with Pride—Japan offers Economic Model, in: Far Eastern Economic Review, 13 August 1992, pp. 59f.

  18. Ibid. Cf. A. Rowley: To Russia with Pride—Japan offers Economic Model, in: Far Eastern Economic Review, 13 August 1992, pp. 59f.

  19. Cf. JICA, op. cit. Country Study for Japan's official Development Assistance to the Socialist Republic of Viet Nam, 1995.

  20. Cf. T. Yanagihara: Development and Dynamic Efficiency: “Framework Approach” versus “Ingredients Approach”, in: K. Ohno, I. Ohno, op. cit. Japanese Views on Economic Development—Diverse Paths t to the Market, London and New York 1998, pp. 70–76.

  21. Cf. World Bank: The East Asian Miracle—Economic Growth and Public Policy, Oxford 1993.

  22. The Miracle-study is not consistent in its argumentation: it also admits that state intervention was probably a factor of success in East Asia, cf. World Bank: The East … op. cit. Asian Miracle—Economic Growth and Public Policy, Oxford 1993.

  23. Cf. J. E. Stiglitz: More Instruments and Broader Goals: Moving toward the Post-Washington Consensus, WIDER Annual Lectures 2, January 1998.

  24. Cf. W. Pascha, op. cit. Industrial Policy and the Policy Choices for Central and Eastern European Countries—A Commentary on Some Controversial Issues, p. 252.

  25. Cf. D. Duc Dinh: Vietnam-Japan Economic Relations on the Rise, Hanoi 1996.

  26. Cf. K. Akamatsu: A Historical Pattern of Economic Growth in Developing Countries, in: Developing Economies, Preliminary Issue, 1962.

  27. Cf. Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Japan's ODA Summary 1996, Tokyo 1996.

  28. Cf. D. Nguyen-Than: Das japanische Engagement in Vietnam, in: ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung: Japan Analysen Prognosen, No. 130, April 1997, pp. 2f.

  29. Cf. M. Aoki, H.-K. Kim, M. Okuno-Fujiwara (eds.): The Role of Government in East Asian Economic Development, Oxford 1997.

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The author is indebted to Prof. Dr. Werner Pascha, Katrin Wolfart and Elmar Eich for detailed and helpful comments on an earlier draft. He is also thankful to Dagmar Lee for her kind assistance.

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Goydke, T. Is Vietnam the youngest goose in Japan's flight formation?. Intereconomics 34, 192–200 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02927848

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