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Is EU enlargement bad for environmental policy? Confronting gloomy expectations with evidence

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Abstract

As the EU expands to include the Central and East European (CEE) countries, its capacity to adopt and implement environmental policy will be negatively affected—this has been a widely held assumption. The CEE countries have been expected to be laggards, slowing down, weakening or even reversing progress in environmental policy-making. More than 2 years have now passed since the enlargement, and the new member-states have begun to make their mark on EU decision-making and implementation. This article confronts gloomy expectations with evidence in three issue-areas: genetically modified organisms, air pollution and climate change. The main conclusions are, first, that there is no indication that enlargement will result in any breakdown of EU environmental policy. Second, the consequences vary across issue-areas. The new member-states have strengthened the group that favours strict regulation of genetically modified organisms, weakened the implementation of the EU emission trading directive and have affected EU air policy hardly at all. These results can give an indication of what is to come. On the other hand, only a short time has passed since enlargement, and the picture may change with regard to other issue-areas.

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Notes

  1. See Skjærseth and Wettestad (2002) for a discussion of the effectiveness of EU environmental policy.

  2. In a previous contribution, we examined the expected negative effects by critically assessing the explanatory variables emphasised in the literature on enlargement and the environment (Skjærseth & Wettestad, 2006).

  3. This line of argument reflects a blend of two different but complementary perspectives in the study of EU policy-making and integration: liberal inter-governmentalism and multi-level governance (see e.g., Fairbass & Jordan, 2005; Jordan, 1998).

  4. In the Environmental Politics Special Issue on EU enlargement and the environment (2004), for example, environmental NGOs are given significantly more attention than industry Environmental Politics, 13(1).

  5. Average GNP per capita in the CEECs is less than $US 4,000, as against $US 25,000 in the EU-15.

  6. It is important to note that the extent to which QMV leads to higher standards depends on the constellation of positions in the Council of Ministers.

  7. At the December 2003 EU Summit, disagreements erupted over the new system to be introduced in 2009. Poland and Spain want to retain the weighting of votes agreed in the Treaty of Nice, whereas Germany, France and others favour the introduction of a ‘double majority’ voting system with votes weighted more in accordance with population size.

  8. In addition, a new population threshold has been introduced. Any member-state can request that the 13 out of 25 member-states represent at least 62% of the total population in the EU.

  9. ENDS Daily (2004, 9 June; 2 August).

  10. The Barroso Commission, which formally took office on 1 November 2004, consists of 25 members—one from each member-state.

  11. In total, over 10,000 responses were received.

  12. ENDS Daily (2005, 23 February), TNO (2005).

  13. ENDS Daily (2005, 19 and 21 September), Euractiv (2005, 21 September).

  14. Euractiv, ibid.; ENDS Daily (2005, 22 September).

  15. ENDS Daily (2005, 5 December) and EU Council (2005).

  16. Euractiv (2006, 22 June), ENDS Daily (2006, 28 June).

  17. And interviews, Brussels January 2006.

  18. ENDS Daily (2006, 28 June).

  19. International Environment Reporter (2005, 29 June).

  20. This Committee, established to allow the CEECs to comment on EU draft legislation concerning the signature of the Accession Treaties, was composed of representatives of the EU, the EU Commission, the Czech Republic, Cyprus, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, and Slovenia. See Fernandez Armenteros and Massai (2005: 432).

  21. ENDS Daily (2003, 21 March). A similar sentiment was expressed by Lidija Zivcic, coordinator of CAN Central and Eastern Europe, in February 2004: ‘The particular circumstances [of the accession countries] have not been properly considered in the shaping of this Directive’ (Point Carbon, 2004, 10 February).

  22. For instance, T. Farago from the Hungarian Ministry of the Environment stated: ‘we have followed the negotiations on the [ETS] Directive very closely, and have also expressed our concern on the linking proposal... At the moment we are waiting for the Commission’s guidelines on the NAP’ (Point Carbon, 2003, 22 August).

  23. These two countries account for around 15% of all EU allowances, and for three-quarters of the allowances from the 10 new member-states (Point Carbon, 2005, 8 July). Poland’s NAP is the third largest in the EU, after Germany and the UK.

  24. Point Carbon (2004, 7 and 14 May).

  25. Point Carbon (2005, 11 March and 15 April).

  26. ENDS Daily (2006, 30 June), Point Carbon (2005, 13 May and 18 November).

  27. International Environment Reporter (2005, 14 December), Statens Energimyndighet (2005), Reuters/Planetark (2006, 8 June).

  28. Euractiv (2006, 27 July).

  29. ENDS Daily (2003, 30 October and 8 December; and 2004, 18 February). In the case of Syngenta, the blocking alliance consisted of Austria, Denmark, France, Greece, Luxembourg and Portugal. Belgium, Germany and Italy abstained (ENDS Daily, 2003, 8 December).

  30. ENDS Daily (2004, 17 June).

  31. ENDS Daily (2004, 29 June; 19 July; 8 September; 25 October).

  32. According to ENDS Daily (2005, 24 June).

  33. Only the UK supported the Commission; Finland and Sweden abstained (ENDS Daily, 2005, 27 June).

  34. Reuters/Planetark (2006, May 9).

  35. On the other hand, FoE/ANPED noted that many provisions in the laws of the CEECs addressed gaps in EU law or even went further than EU legislation. For instance, the GMO laws in Poland and Slovakia provided for liability (Friends of the Earth/ANPED, 2003b).

  36. EU Commission (2004), Euractiv (2004, 17 August).

  37. ENDS Daily (2004, June 9 and August 2).

  38. For example, the LCP directive includes differential obligations for member-states. With regard to the Auto-Oil Directive, differing time-frames on lead and SO2 have been granted to various member-states.

Abbreviations

BSA:

Burden-Sharing Agreement

CAFÉ:

Clean Air for Europe Programme

CDM:

Clean Development Mechanism

CEE:

Central and East European

CEECs:

Central and East European Countries

CLRTAP:

Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution

ECCP:

European Climate Change Programme

EEA:

European Environment Agency

EITs:

Economies in Transition

ENGOs:

Environmental Non-Governmental Organisations

EP:

European Parliament

ETS:

Emissions Trading System

GMOs:

Genetically Modified Organisms

JI:

Joint Implementation

LCP:

Large Combustion Plant

NEC:

National Emission Ceilings

PM2.5:

Ultra-fine Particulates

QMV:

Qualified Majority Voting

UNFCCC:

United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 3

UNICE:

Union of Industrial and Employers’ Confederations of Europe

WTO:

World Trade Organisation

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Correspondence to Jon Birger Skjærseth.

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Jon Birger Skjærseth is presently a visiting researcher at University of California, Santa Barbara

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Skjærseth, J.B., Wettestad, J. Is EU enlargement bad for environmental policy? Confronting gloomy expectations with evidence. Int Environ Agreements 7, 263–280 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10784-007-9033-7

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