Abstract
Storm surge, sea wave, sea ice, red tide and harmful marine creature bloom are main marine disasters occurring in the coast and offshore areas of Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China. Marine disasters mentioned above can be divided into five categories, namely, marine meteorological disasters, marine hydrological disasters, marine geological disasters, marine ecological disasters and man-made marine disasters. Over the past century, the marine disasters in the coast and offshore areas of Qingdao City have caused great economic losses and casualties. In recent years, some problems still exist in emergency management against marine disasters in Qingdao City, such as inaccurate predictions of disasters, untimely early warning and lack of social participation in the emergency management. On the basis of scenario analysis, the authors try to predict different possible scenarios of marine disasters at different early warning levels and propose some optimized emergency countermeasures against marine disaster in Qingdao City. Results of our research can provide a theoretical basis for the revision and improvement of emergency plans and thus guarantee timely and effective emergency management actions against marine disasters in Qingdao City.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bi SJ (2013) Specialist declared that the crude oil leakage and explosion of Sinopec East Yellow Oil pipelines on November 22, 2013 would influence the marine eco-environment. China United Business, 2013-12-2. Accessed 29 Dec 2013. http://www.cubn.com.cn/News3/news_detail.asp?id=13403
Bureau of statistics of Qingdao City (2013) National economic and social development statistical bulletin in Qingdao, 2012. Accessed 21 Sept 2013. http://zzb.qingdao.gov.cn/n24179460/n24181359/26798460.html (in Chinese)
Cao B, Lin JY, Cui SH, Tang LN (2010) Scenario analysis of reduction potentials of energy demand and GHG emissions based on LEAP model in Xiamen City. Acta Ecol Sini 30(12):3358–3367 (in Chinese)
Chen Y (2011) Fortifying basis and highlighting focus—promoting scientific and standardized emergency management of Qingdao City. Chin Emerg Manag 4:32–36 (in Chinese)
Chen ZH (2012) Jellyfish inundation in offshore of May 4th square of Qingdao City. China news, 2012-07-09. Accessed 18 Sept 2013. http://finance.chinanews.com/ny/2012/07-19/4043384.shtml (in Chinese)
Compiling Committee of ‘China Ocean Almanac’ (1994) China ocean almanac (1991–1993). The Marine Press, Beijing, pp 307–312 (in Chinese)
Compiling Committee of ‘National Assessment of Climate Changes’ (2007) National assessment of climate changes. The Science Press, Beijing, pp 20–83 (in Chinese)
Cui M, Niu XR, Zhang XL (2012) The origin and countermeasures of coastal erosion of Qingdao City. Chin Agric Sci Bull 28(5):283–288 (in Chinese)
Deng XZ, Jiang QO, Zhan JY (2009) Scenario analyses of land productivity in China. Ecol Environ Sci 18(5):1835–1843 (in Chinese)
Emergency Management Office of Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China (2011) Establishing notions of “accuracy, speediness, strictness and truthfulness”, comprehensively enhancing the ability of emergency report. Chin Emerg Manag 12:28–29 (in Chinese)
Emergency Management Office of Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China (2012a) Practice and revelation of semi-militarized emergency management of Qingdao of City. Chin Emerg Manag 9:36–42 (in Chinese)
Emergency Management Office of Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China (2012b) Promote practice with assessment-Qingdao introduced emergency exercise evaluation index system. Chin Emerg Manag 2:32–35 (in Chinese)
Fahey L (1999) Competitor scenarios: projecting a rival’s marketplace strategy. Compet Intell Rev 10(2):65–85. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1520-6386(199932)10:2<65:AID-CIR9>3.0.CO;2-Z
Gao XL, Chen CTA (2012) Heavy metal pollution status in surface sediments of the coastal Bohai Bay. Water Res 46:1901–1911. doi:10.1016/j.watres.2012.01.007
Gao XL, Li PM (2012) Concentration and fractionation of trace metals in surface sediments of intertidal Bohai Bay, China. Mar Pollut Bull 64:1529–1536. doi:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2012.04.026
Gao XP, Liu YH (2009) Review of Chinese emergency management research. Chin Publ Adm 8:29–33 (in Chinese)
Gao HY, Mo SJ, Chen TE (2004) Research on emergency information management system of offshore disasters in Qingdao. J Nat Disasters 13(4):88–92 (in Chinese)
Gao XL, Zhou FX, Chen CTA (2014) Pollution status of the Bohai Sea: an overview of the environmental quality assessment related trace metals. Environ Int 62:12–30. doi:10.1016/j.envint.2013.09.019
Government Office of Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China (2012a) Emergency plans against large-scale algae bloom of Qingdao City. Accessed 21 Sept 2013. http://ocean.qingdao.gov.cn/n12479801/n18210301/n18210407/26388480.html (in Chinese)
Government Office of Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China (2012b) Emergency plans against red tides in offshore of Qingdao City. Accessed 21 Sept 2013. http://ocean.qingdao.gov.cn/n12479801/n18210301/n18210407/26388222.html (in Chinese)
Government Office of Qingdao City, Shandong Province, China (2013) Emergency plan against storm surges, sea wave, tsunami and sea ice in Qingdao City. Accessed 21 Sept 2013. http://ocean.qingdao.gov.cn/n12479801/n18210301/n18210407/27071868.html (in Chinese)
Hu BB, Zhou J, Xu SY, Chen ZL, Wang J, Wang DQ, Wang L, Guo JF, Meng WQ (2013) Assessment of hazards and economic losses induced by land subsidence in Tianjin Binhai new area from 2011 to 2020 based on scenario analysis. Nat Hazards 66:873–886. doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0530-9
Li ZJ, Zhu JZ, Zhang JS, Li L, Du J, Chen QY (2007) Emergency management of ocean and marine fishery. The Marine Press, Beijing, pp 94–168 (in Chinese)
Lou W (2012) The application of scenario analysis method in technology economy. J Ind Technol Econ 10:6–12 (in Chinese)
Ocean & Fishery Administration of Qingdao (2014) Report on Marine Environmental Quality of Qingdao, 2013. Accessed 2 June 2014. Accessed 21 May 2014. http://ocean.qingdao.gov.cn/n12479801/n28192913/28337806.html
Qi P (2006) Study on emergency management of marine disasters in China. Mar Environ Sci 25(4):81–83 87 (in Chinese)
Qingdao Annuals Office (1997a) History and annuals of Qingdao. Ocean annuals. Xinhua Press, Beijing, pp 23–234 (in Chinese)
Qingdao Annuals Office (1997b) History and annuals of Qingdao. Physical geography annuals. Xinhua Press, Beijing, pp 174–301 (in Chinese)
Qingdao Annuals Office (1999) History and annuals of Qingdao. Land/Earthquake annuals. Xinhua Press, Beijing, pp 1–32 (in Chinese)
Xia DX, Wu GQ, Yang M (1999) A study on marine disasters in Shandong province. The Marine Press, Beijing, pp 1–63 (in Chinese)
Yang SL, Chen MQ, Zhu J, Zhang J (2003) Computation of storage for tidal water of semi-closed bays where the intertidal zone is partly embanked—taking Jiaozhou Bay as an example. Mar Sci 27(8):43–47 (in Chinese)
Yang J, Ma GS, Jia GF (2013) Clean the seawater of Jiaozhou Bay in 6 days—on-the-spot report of eliminating oil waste of the crude oil leakage and explosion of Oil pipelines in Qingdao on November 22, 2013. China Water Transport, 2013-12-13(5). Accessed 31 Dec 2013. http://epaper.zgsyb.com/html/2013-12/13/content_67231.htm
Yin J, Yin Z, Xu SY (2013) Composite risk assessment of typhoon-induced disaster for China’s coastal area. Nat Hazards 69:1423–1434. doi:10.1007/s11069-013-0755-2
Yuan BK, Cao RH, Jiang CB, Shang J, Li PS, Jiang F (2012) Research on marine disasters and their countermeasures of Qingdao City. Ocean Dev Manag 11:56–61 (in Chinese)
Yue Z, Lai MS (2006) Research on progress of scenario analysis abroad. J Inf 7(59–60):64 (in Chinese)
Zhang XL (2003) Marine disasters and their reduction in Shandong Province. Mar Sci Bull 23(3):66–72 (in Chinese)
Zhao XY, Xu W (2012) A brief view of emergency management of natural disasters. Agric Archaeol 3:61–63 (in Chinese)
Zheng ZL, Zhang DM (2005) Method of interpreting the future under uncertain circumstances—scenario analysis. J Inf 5:14–16 (in Chinese)
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by Open Research Fund Program of the Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Marine Ecology and Environment & Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, China (2012002), the Special Fund Project for Public Welfare of National Ocean Industries, China (201105005).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Zhang, Z., Zhang, X., Xu, Z. et al. Emergency countermeasures against marine disasters in Qingdao City on the basis of scenario analysis. Nat Hazards 75 (Suppl 2), 233–255 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1332-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1332-z