Exploring winter rainfall in western South Africa : connections, influences and the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting
Master Thesis
2010
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University of Cape Town
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Abstract
The development and underlying physical connections of relationships between SWC rainfall and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), South Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST), Antarctic sea ice concentration (SIC), and the EI Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) were explored using spatial and temporal correlations. Insight gained from the correlation analysis was used to develop statistical forecast models for SWC seasonal rainfall, which served as an initial assessment of the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting of SWC rainfall.
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Includes abstract.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 151-155).
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Wolding, B. 2010. Exploring winter rainfall in western South Africa : connections, influences and the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting. University of Cape Town.