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Development of a Response Surface Thermal Model for Orion Mated to the International Space StationA study was performed to determine if a Design of Experiments (DOE)/Response Surface Methodology could be applied to on-orbit thermal analysis and produce a set of Response Surface Equations (RSE) that accurately predict vehicle temperatures. The study used an integrated thermal model of the International Space Station and the Orion Outer mold line model. Five separate factors were identified for study: yaw, pitch, roll, beta angle, and the environmental parameters. Twenty external Orion temperatures were selected as the responses. A DOE case matrix of 110 runs was developed. The data from these cases were analyzed to produce an RSE for each of the temperature responses. The initial agreement between the engineering data and the RSE predictions was encouraging, although many RSEs had large uncertainties on their predictions. Fourteen verification cases were developed to test the predictive powers of the RSEs. The verification showed mixed results with some RSE predicting temperatures matching the engineering data within the uncertainty bands, while others had very large errors. While this study to not irrefutably prove that the DOE/RSM approach can be applied to on-orbit thermal analysis, it does demonstrate that technique has the potential to predict temperatures. Additional work is needed to better identify the cases needed to produce the RSEs
Document ID
20100028282
Acquisition Source
Johnson Space Center
Document Type
Conference Paper
Authors
Miller, Stephen W.
(NASA Johnson Space Center Houston, TX, United States)
Meier, Eric J.
(Purdue Univ. West Lafayette, IN, United States)
Date Acquired
August 24, 2013
Publication Date
August 16, 2010
Subject Category
Fluid Mechanics And Thermodynamics
Report/Patent Number
JSC-CN-21202
Meeting Information
Meeting: 2010 Thermal and Fluids Analysis Workshop
Location: Houston, TX
Country: United States
Start Date: August 16, 2010
End Date: August 20, 2010
Sponsors: NASA Johnson Space Center
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Public Use Permitted.
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