NASA Logo

NTRS

NTRS - NASA Technical Reports Server

Back to Results
Agent Based Modeling of Air Carrier Behavior for Evaluation of Technology Equipage and AdoptionAs part of ongoing research, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and LMI developed a research framework to assist policymakers in identifying impacts on the U.S. air transportation system (ATS) of potential policies and technology related to the implementation of the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen). This framework, called the Air Transportation System Evolutionary Simulation (ATS-EVOS), integrates multiple models into a single process flow to best simulate responses by U.S. commercial airlines and other ATS stakeholders to NextGen-related policies, and in turn, how those responses impact the ATS. Development of this framework required NASA and LMI to create an agent-based model of airline and passenger behavior. This Airline Evolutionary Simulation (AIRLINE-EVOS) models airline decisions about tactical airfare and schedule adjustments, and strategic decisions related to fleet assignments, market prices, and equipage. AIRLINE-EVOS models its own heterogeneous population of passenger agents that interact with airlines; this interaction allows the model to simulate the cycle of action-reaction as airlines compete with each other and engage passengers. We validated a baseline configuration of AIRLINE-EVOS against Airline Origin and Destination Survey (DB1B) data and subject matter expert opinion, and we verified the ATS-EVOS framework and agent behavior logic through scenario-based experiments. These experiments demonstrated AIRLINE-EVOS's capabilities in responding to an input price shock in fuel prices, and to equipage challenges in a series of analyses based on potential incentive policies for best equipped best served, optimal-wind routing, and traffic management initiative exemption concepts..
Document ID
20140011420
Acquisition Source
Langley Research Center
Document Type
Conference Paper
Authors
Horio, Brant M.
(LMI Government Consulting McLean, VA, United States)
DeCicco, Anthony H.
(LMI Government Consulting McLean, VA, United States)
Stouffer, Virginia L.
(LMI Government Consulting McLean, VA, United States)
Hasan, Shahab
(LMI Government Consulting McLean, VA, United States)
Rosenbaum, Rebecca L.
(LMI Government Consulting McLean, VA, United States)
Smith, Jeremy C.
(NASA Langley Research Center Hampton, VA, United States)
Date Acquired
September 8, 2014
Publication Date
June 16, 2014
Subject Category
Air Transportation And Safety
Report/Patent Number
NF1676L-18626
AIAA Paper 2014-3147
Meeting Information
Meeting: AVIATION 2014 (The Aviation and Aeronautics Forum and Exposition)
Location: Atlanta, GA
Country: United States
Start Date: June 16, 2014
End Date: June 20, 2014
Sponsors: American Inst. of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Funding Number(s)
WBS: WBS 305295.02.90.07.01.01
Distribution Limits
Public
Copyright
Public Use Permitted.
No Preview Available