Discrete-time stochastic analysis of land combat

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2004

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Eliiyi, Uğur

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In this study, we present the implementation and experimental analysis of a modeling approach for analyzing tactical level land combat to generate information for weapon and ammunition planning. The discrete-time stochastic model (DSM), which can handle small and moderately large force levels, is based on single shot kill probabilities. Forces are assumed to be heterogeneous on both sides, and both directed and area fire types are modeled by means of combinatorial analysis. DSM considers overkills and can handle noncombat loss and engagement processes, discrete reinforcements, force combinations and divisions. In addition to experimenting with DSM, we estimate attrition rate coefficients used in Lanchester combat models, such that the two models will yield similar figures for force levels throughout the combat.

Subject Keywords

Discrete-time systems., Combat.

URI

http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/759472/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/13851

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Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Thesis

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Citation Formats

U. Eliiyi, “Discrete-time stochastic analysis of land combat,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2004.