Critical insolation–CO2 relation for diagnosing past and future glacial 
inception

Ganopolski, A.; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Schellnhuber, H. J.

doi:10.1038/nature16494

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Critical insolation–CO2 relation for diagnosing past and future glacial inception

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Winkelmann, Ricarda
external, Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, Max Planck Society;

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Citation

Ganopolski, A., Winkelmann, R., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2016). Critical insolation–CO2 relation for diagnosing past and future glacial inception. Nature, 529(7585): 16494, 200-203. doi:10.1038/nature16494.

Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000D-9626-F

Abstract

A critical functional relationship between boreal summer insolation and global carbon dioxide concentration is proposed and tested with simulations; it accounts for the beginning of the past eight glacial cycles and predicts that the next one is unusually far off, even without the effect of anthropogenic emissions.