BMW AG : equity valuation

Abstract

The main goal of this master thesis to is compute the most accurate common share price for Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW) at the date of 31st December 2014. For that, a review of relevant literature was done to find the Discounted Cash Flows valuation model, with the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) as the discount rate, as the most commonly used and appropriate to be applied for such purpose. With a WACC of 3,23%, the result was market capitalization of 71 409,21 million Euros and price per share of 108,77€. The multiples approach was also used both as a benchmark that confirmed the results of the mentioned valuation and as a means of proving the group’s over performance when compared to its most relevant peers. This makes one believe that BMW is being undervalued by the market, given a price at time of valuation of 89,77€, making it a good investment opportunity. A “BUY” recommendation is the result of this master thesis, taking into consideration that macroeconomic effects may have significant influence. Nevertheless, it is expected that only with either a decrease in perpetuity growth rate of 18,5% or an increase in WACC of 7,7% will the above statement not hold. Also, it is believed that with a 95% confidence level, price per share of BMW will not go below 100,39€.