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http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621
Título: | Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
Autor: | Fontoura, Maria Paula Martínez-Galán, Enrique Proença, Isabel |
Palavras-chave: | European Union CEEC Gravity Model Commodity Composition of Trade Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator Trade Potential |
Data: | 2006 |
Editora: | ISEG – Departamento de Economia |
Citação: | Fontoura, Paula, Enrique Martínez-Galán and Isabel Proença. (2006). "Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 8-2006/DE/CISEP |
Relatório da Série N.º: | DE/ Working papers nº 8-2006/DE/CISEP |
Resumo: | This paper aims to evaluate the trade potential of manufactured products between countries belonging to the EU in the threshold of its Eastern enlargement. For this purpose we use a Gravity model which is estimated with a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Method. We extend the specification of the gravity model in order to capture bilateral trade specificities between groups of countries of the enlarged EU, allowing to test the statistical significance of these inter-groups' trade potential. In addition, it includes the Commodity Composition of Trade. The estimated coefficients are used to project exports of each country. We conclude that in 2002 the CEEC as a group had exhausted their export potentialities to the enlarged EU, whereas the same does not apply to its imports from the EU members. |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621 |
ISSN: | 0874-4548 |
Versão do Editor: | https://aquila1.iseg.utl.pt/aquila/getFile.do?method=getFile&fileId=26444 |
Aparece nas colecções: | CISEP - Documentos de Trabalho / CISEP - Working Papers DE - Documentos de trabalho / Working Papers |
Ficheiros deste registo:
Ficheiro | Descrição | Tamanho | Formato | |
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wp82006.pdf | 291,04 kB | Adobe PDF | Ver/Abrir |
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